Monday, 7 July 2014

Tour de France - Stage 3

Today we have a very flat stage in the tour, which will most probably end up in a sprint. The last kilometres are on broad roads, so I don't think there are big chances for accidents. Unless we get an action like Mark Cavendish did... Normally Marcel Kittel will win this stage, but @1.57 is too low for him. Maybe we can take him in the live betting. Therefore I'll only focus today on the matchups.

Haussler hasn't sprinted so far, but Navardauskas did already become 3rd in the first sprint. Therefore I think there is value on the following:

Navardauskas to beat Haussler @1.60 6/10

In the first stage, Romain Feillu didn't really sprint, and Petit was behind the peleton. However that stage was more difficult than this one. So I think today he will sprint, and then he's stronger than Feillu!

Petit to beat R. Feillu @2.05 4/10

In the first stage, Kristoff couldn't do a full sprint due to the crash. Coquard became 4th in that sprint but he had no troubles. Kristoff is in 75% of the sprints faster than Coquard. So I think the value is on him here!

Kristoff to beat Coquard @1.75 4/10



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